Stocks, US yields climb as data, Fed comments eyed

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By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK (Reuters) -A gauge of global stocks rose for the first time in three sessions on Monday, while U.S. Treasury yields climbed after a sharp drop in the prior week as investors awaited comments from Federal Reserve officials.

On Wall Street, U.S. stocks rallied after a sluggish start to the session, led by gains in technology shares.

Economic data showed manufacturing activity in the New York region improved in June, but remained in contraction territory with a reading of negative 6. Investors will closely eye retail sales data for May on Tuesday for signs of consumer health.

“There really isn’t an appetite to be a real seller right now because there is a perception that momentum is going to continue, and stocks are going to continue winning,” said Daniela Hathorn, senior market analyst at Capital.com.

“The fact that the rally has been driven mostly by a select few stocks, that would mean that the pullback could be even deeper.”

The rose 180.08 points, or 0.47%, to 38,769.24, the gained 49.82 points, or 0.92%, to 5,481.42 and the gained 215.96 points, or 1.22%, to 17,904.84.

Goldman Sachs raised its year-end S&P 500 price target to 5,600 from the prior 5,200, while Evercore ISI lifted its price target to 6,000 from 4,750.

U.S. equities had pushed to record levels last week following several inflation readings that indicated price pressures may be ebbing, even as the Fed adjusted its economic projections to only include one rate cut for the year.

In Europe, stocks edged higher, with banks and technology stocks rebounding from losses last week after markets were startled by political uncertainty in France. The index closed up 0.09%, while Europe’s broad index rose 2.52 points, or 0.12%

MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe advanced 4.38 points, or 0.55%, to 801.64, bouncing from earlier lows and following two straight sessions of declines.

FED OFFICIALS

U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year note coming off its biggest weekly drop of the year in response to inflation data that boosted hopes the Fed would be able to cut rates by at least 25 basis points in September.

Markets are currently pricing in a 63.3% chance for a 25 basis point cut in September, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool, down from about 70% in the prior session.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 6.4 basis points to 4.277%, from 4.213% late on Friday.

“The Empire State helped a little bit, but it’s more than that,” said Stan Shipley, managing director and fixed income strategist at Evercore ISI in New York. “Yields came down a lot last week and so some people are taking profits here.”

Investors will hear from a host of Fed officials this week, including Governor Lisa Cook and New York President John Williams on Monday.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said on Monday the central bank would be able to cut rates one time this year should his forecast play out.

Central banks in Australia, Norway and Britain are all expected to leave their interest rates unchanged at meetings this week, though the Swiss National Bank could ease given the recent strength of the Swiss franc.

The , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, lost 0.22% at 105.31, with the euro up 0.32% at $1.0734.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People walk past screens displaying the Hang Seng stock index and stock prices outside the Exchange Square in Hong Kong, China January 23, 2024. REUTERS/Joyce Zhou/File Photo

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened 0.19% at 157.67, while sterling strengthened 0.17% at $1.2704.

settled up 2.4% to $80.33 a barrel and rose to settle at $84.25 per barrel, up 1.97% on the day, building on the prior week’s gains as investors turned more optimistic on demand growth in the months ahead.

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